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wpp2.ms (2055B)


      1 .TL
      2 Weekly past paper 2 (stats)
      3 .AU
      4 Lucas Standen
      5 .AI
      6 QMC
      7 
      8 .AB
      9 .CD
     10 .I
     11 I thought for all our sanities, we might appreciate me trying to type this :)
     12 .AE
     13 
     14 .PP
     15 1)a)
     16 .EQ
     17 22 - 16 over sigma = 1.28155
     18 .EN
     19 
     20 .EQ
     21 sigma = 22 - 16 over 1.28155
     22 .EN
     23 
     24 .EQ
     25 sigma = 4.68
     26 .EN
     27 
     28 .PP
     29 1)b)
     30 
     31 .EQ
     32 P(L < 16) = P(Z < 13-16 over 4.68 )
     33 .EN
     34 
     35 .EQ
     36 P(L < 16) = 26.1%
     37 .EN
     38 
     39 .PP
     40 1)c)
     41 
     42 .EQ
     43 P(S < 8) = 0.1
     44 .EN
     45 
     46 .EQ
     47 {8 - mu} over sigma = -1.2816
     48 .EN
     49 
     50 .EQ
     51 {17 - mu} over sigma = 0.8416
     52 .EN
     53 
     54 .EQ
     55 sigma = 4.238
     56 .EN
     57 
     58 .EQ
     59 mu = 13.432
     60 .EN
     61 
     62 .PP
     63 1)d)
     64 .EQ
     65 13.4 > 16
     66 .EN
     67 
     68 .EQ
     69 "this supports thier belief"
     70 .EN
     71 
     72 .PP
     73 2)a)
     74 
     75 .EQ
     76 W = " The number of cards out of the 20 winning ones"
     77 .EN
     78 
     79 .EQ
     80 W " ~ " B(20, 0.45)
     81 .EN
     82 
     83 .EQ
     84 S = " The number of stores with 12 or more winning cards"
     85 .EN
     86 
     87 .EQ
     88 S " ~ " B(8, p)
     89 .EN
     90 
     91 .EQ
     92 p = P(w >= 12) = 0.1308
     93 .EN
     94 
     95 .EQ
     96 P(S >= 2) = 0.2818
     97 .EN
     98 
     99 .PP
    100 2)b)
    101 
    102 .EQ
    103 "There is a large number of trials, so the rate should be close 0.5"
    104 .EN
    105 
    106 .PP
    107 2)c)
    108 .EQ
    109 X " ~ " N(135, 74.25)
    110 .EN
    111 
    112 .EQ
    113 P(X < 122.5) 
    114 .EN
    115 
    116 .EQ
    117 P(Z < {122.5 - 135} over sqrt 74.25 ) = 0.0734
    118 .EN
    119 
    120 .PP
    121 2)d)
    122 .EQ
    123 "The probability is higher than 2.5% therefore there is not enough evidence to suggest that the proportion is not 45%"
    124 .EN
    125 
    126 .PP
    127 3)a)i)
    128 .EQ
    129 X " ~ " N(30, 2 sup 2 )
    130 .EN
    131 
    132 .EQ
    133 P(X = 31) = 0
    134 .EN
    135 
    136 .PP
    137 3)a)ii)
    138 .EQ
    139 P(X > 31) = 0.3085
    140 .EN
    141 
    142 .PP
    143 3)b)i)
    144 .EQ
    145 0.0668 times (1 - 0.0668) sup 4 = 0.0507
    146 .EN
    147 
    148 .PP
    149 3)b)ii)
    150 .EQ
    151 P(Y > 1) = 1 - P(Y <= 1)
    152 .EN
    153 
    154 .EQ
    155 1 - 0.9610 = 0.039
    156 .EN
    157 
    158 .PP
    159 3)c)
    160 .EQ
    161 H " ~ " N( mu , 1.5 sup 2 )
    162 .EN
    163 
    164 .EQ
    165 P(H > 42) = 0.0005
    166 .EN
    167 
    168 .EQ
    169 z = {42 - mu} over 1.5 = 3.29
    170 .EN
    171 
    172 .EQ
    173 mu = 37.06
    174 .EN
    175 
    176 .PP
    177 4)a)
    178 .EQ
    179 "mean "= 1680 over 60 = 28 " mins "
    180 .EN
    181 
    182 .EQ
    183 S sub xx =  47654.4 - 1680 sup 2 over 60 = 614.4
    184 .EN
    185 
    186 .EQ
    187 sigma = sqrt {S sub xx over 60} = 3.2
    188 .EN
    189 
    190 .PP
    191 4)b)
    192 .EQ
    193 H sub 0 : mu = 27.5
    194 .EN
    195 
    196 .EQ
    197 H sub 1 : mu > 27.5
    198 .EN
    199 
    200 .EQ
    201 z = 28 - 27.5 over {3 over sqrt 60} = 1.2909
    202 .EN
    203 
    204 .EQ
    205 z = 1.64485
    206 .EN
    207 
    208 .EQ
    209 "no sufficent evidence to support her belief"
    210 .EN
    211 
    212 .PP
    213 4)c)i)
    214 .EQ
    215 "assuming that you will always have a p of 0.2 is not likely"
    216 .EN
    217 
    218 .PP
    219 4)c)ii)
    220 .EQ
    221 "moddel the fastest and slowest people as 2 distributions"
    222 .EN